Predictors of post-stroke delirium incidence and duration: Results of a prospective observational study using high-frequency delirium screening.

BACKGROUND: Post-stroke delirium (PSD) is a modifiable predictor for worse outcome in stroke. Knowledge of its risk factors would facilitate clinical management of affected patients, but recently updated national guidelines consider available evidence insufficient. AIMS: The study aimed to establish risk factors for PSD incidence and duration using high-frequency screening. METHODS: We prospectively investigated patients with ischemic stroke admitted within 24 h. Patients were screened twice daily for the presence of PSD throughout the treatment period. Sociodemographic, treatment-related, and neuroimaging characteristics were evaluated as predictors of either PSD incidence (odds ratios (OR)) or duration (PSD days/unit of the predictor, b), using logistic and linear regression models, respectively. RESULTS: PSD occurred in 55/141 patients (age = 73.8 ± 10.4 years, 61 female, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) = 6.4 ± 6.5). Age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.06 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.10), b = 0.08 (95% CI = 0.04-0.13)), and male gender (b = 0.99 (95% CI = 0.05-1.93)) were significant non-modifiable risk factors. In a multivariable model adjusted for age and gender, presence of pain (OR < sub > mvar = 1.75 (95% CI = 1.12-2.74)), urinary catheter (OR < sub > mvar = 3.16 (95% CI = 1.10-9.14)) and post-stroke infection (PSI; OR < sub > mvar = 4.43 (95% CI = 1.09-18.01)) were predictors of PSD incidence. PSD duration was impacted by presence of pain (b < sub > mvar = 0.49 (95% CI = 0.19-0.81)), urinary catheter (b < sub > mvar = 1.03 (95% CI = 0.01-2.07)), intravenous line (b < sub > mvar = 0.36 (95% CI = 0.16-0.57)), and PSI (b < sub > mvar = 1.60 (95% CI = 0.42-2.78)). PSD (OR = 3.53 (95% CI = 1.48-5.57)) and PSI (OR = 5.29 (95% CI = 2.92-7.66)) independently predicted inferior NIHSS at discharge. Insular and basal ganglia lesions increased the PSD risk about four- to eight-fold. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: This study identified modifiable risk factors, the management of which might reduce the negative impact PSD has on outcome.

Course and Recognition of Poststroke Delirium: A Prospective Noninferiority Trial of Delirium Screening Tools.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Poststroke delirium (PSD) is an independent predictor of unfavorable outcome. Despite its individual and socioeconomic burden, its frequency, clinical course, and routine detection remain unresolved. This study aimed to assess psychometric properties of established delirium screening tools and investigate the natural course of PSD. METHODS: This study investigated patients presenting with high-risk transient ischemic attacks or ischemic stroke within 24 hours during a 3-month period. Twice-daily screenings for PSD were done using the confusion assessment method, nursing delirium scale, and rapid delirium assessment, and evaluated for noninferiority against Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition criteria. We investigated demographic and stroke characteristics as predictors of PSD, neurological deficits as predictors of false screening results, and conducted a simulation study to estimate the best timing to identify PSD. RESULTS: We enrolled 141 patients (73.8±10.4 years of age, 61 female) with a mean National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 6.4±6.5. Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition based PSD incidence was 39%, which manifested within 24 hours in 25% and 72 hours in almost all cases. The confusion assessment method was the only screening tool noninferior to Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition ratings providing a sensitivity of 82% and specificity of 80%. Age (odds ratio, 1.07 [1.02-1.13] per year, P=0.004) and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (odds ratio, 1.24 [1.15-1.34] per point, P<0.001) were predictors of PSD. False-positive screening results were associated with stroke-induced disorientation (odds ratio, 6.1 [3.2-11.61], P<0.001) and neglect (odds ratio, 2.17 [1.22-3.87], P=0.008). Simulations revealed that one in 4 cases is missed with less than daily screenings. CONCLUSIONS: PSD is a common complication of stroke and transient ischemic attack. Detection is challenged by confounding effects such as focal neurological deficits and the necessity for at least daily screenings. Future studies are required to investigate implementation of these findings in clinical routine. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT03930719.